Whereas the mud is but to choose Telangana Civic Polls, the writing on the wall is for all to see. The large efforts put in by the Bhartiya Janata Celebration in galvanising its vote base with the dazzle of senior leaders, has paid wealthy dividends. Even when the BJP manages to turn into the third largest occasion within the civic polls, the truth that its seat tally is lower than 10% (3 – 4 seat) of the AIMIM, it is clear that BJP will emerge as the main opposition occasion in Telangana Meeting polls sooner or later. It was with this categorical goal, the BJP had unleashed its greatest ballot managers to handle the voter prove.
Not stunning although, the Congress Celebration is hardly making its presence felt in these polls. It wasn’t way back that INC was the prime mover in Telangana area. However after the formation of the brand new state underneath UPA regime, the Congress not solely misplaced its huge voter base, it has at the moment been lowered to its poor shadow. It was this area of erstwhile Andhra, which was as soon as thought of to be a agency Congress playground. A area, which proved to Indira Gandhi’s saviour even when she confronted full rout in 1977. However that legacy has lengthy been misplaced to Chandra Shekhar Rao. Even in 2014 Lok Sabha polls, Congress had emerged because the second largest occasion in Telangana, however at the moment the rout narrates a unique story.
Spending time on Congress’ pathetic efficiency can be a waste of time. However warming as much as the BJP’s not so stellar, but considerable voter choice is the story that has multidimensional implications.
Of the 5 southern states, Karnataka has been BJP’s playground for over 15 years. However Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana have been chilly to the occasion. Determined makes an attempt by the RSS and its associates to make inroads in Kerala are but to bear fruits. Regardless of the polarised polity, Kerala presents a problem of kinds for the BJP. With 20 Lok Sabha seats, Kerala is sort of a Sphinx which barely reveals itself to the Hindu agenda of the BJP.
Whereas the identical cannot be mentioned about Tamil Nadu, this Davidian polity-led state has been a waterloo for BJP for many years. And not using a larger-than-life chief in place, the BJP discovered no roots in TN. Had it not been the golden alternative supplied by windfall, publish Jayalalitha’s premature demise, the BJP would have been at greatest a fringe occasion. Buoyed by the prospect of Rajnikanth, forming his personal political outfit, who showers praises on Modi like an astute fan, BJP at the moment, eyes a foothold within the state.
On this chess board of 5 southern states, there are solely 2 states, which might turn into fertile floor for the BJP – Telangana & Andhra Pradesh. In each these states, BJP is nicely poised to switch the defanged Congress, which hardly cares about its state items. Taking the virtually vacant Congress slot, offers BJP with shot at securing seats within the Lok Sabha Elections. Successive elections have now proved that Indian voters distinguish decisively between Meeting elections and Nationwide polls. It’s right here that the BJP finds its successful components. Although, the meeting elections are gained by respective regional outfits run by Chandra Shekar Rao & Jagan Reddy, it is the Lok Sabha seats in these two states that might firmly safe the federal government at Centre.
Inch by inch, the BJP juggernaut seems to be at securing its Nationwide authorities with the assistance of extra territories. It’s on this context, the success in Telangana civic polls can have a bearing on West Bengal Meeting elections as nicely. It is a identified undeniable fact that the BJP is making pitched efforts at securing the state in its fold. In spite of everything, it isn’t simply the lure of forming a BJP authorities in West Bengal, but additionally claiming a lion’s share from its 48 seats within the Lok Sabha.
Up until 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the state authorities headed by Mamata Banerjee was blind in the direction of the huge inroads that the BJP was making inside the Hindu inhabitants. Pandering to the minority vote, which roughly makes up for 30% of the populace, Mamata was listlessly safe in her Ivory tower.
However the 18-seat victory with 41% vote share, shook her out of slumber. However right here once more, the may of BJP by way of monetary assets, array of leaders who can spend months at a stretch within the state, the outreach of RSS pracharaks and the enchantment of the Prime Minister – all mixed shouldn’t be a simple onslaught to deal with. Regardless of all-out efforts at securing and galvanising her assist base, Mamata nonetheless seems to out of her depths.
Given these chess board strikes of the BJP planners, it is secure to say, that the final hand is securing one other time period for the nationwide authorities is but to dealt. And the march to the unchartered territory has simply begun.
(Author of the article, Ajay Kumar, is Consulting Editor, India TV)
(Disclaimer: The opinions expressed inside this text are the private opinions of the creator. The opinions don’t replicate the views of India TV)